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SURGING FUEL PRICES – A WORLDWIDE PREDICAMENT

The price of oil has made a record jump to nearly US$139 a barrel

The British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) in a report stated that oil prices were given a boost on a report by Morgan Stanley analyst Ole Slorer, who suggested the price of oil could rocket to $150 as early as July.

Oil prices have risen by 25% in the last four months and 400% since 2001. In 1999, the price of oil hovered around US$16 a barrel. By 2008, it had crossed the US$100 a barrel mark.

The latest forecast from the International Energy Agency calls for global oil demand of 87.2 million barrels a day this year.

In June, energy officials from five top consumer nations met in Japan to discuss soaring oil prices.

Japan, the United States, China, India and South Korea combined consume nearly half the world’s oil. China is the world’s second-largest oil consumer after the United States.

In 2007, China imported 3.2 million barrels per day, and its estimated usage was around 7 million barrels per day. The US, by contrast, consumes around 20.7 million barrels per day.

Meanwhile, according to London consultancy Global Insight, there are approximately 887 million vehicles worldwide, up from 553 million just 15 years ago.

In the United States, the Transportation Department in May reported that in March, Americans drove 11 billion fewer miles than in March 2007, a decline of 4.3 percent. It is the first time since 1979 that traffic has dropped from one March to the next, and the month-on-month percentage decline is the largest since record keeping began in 1942.

With the nationwide average price for regular gasoline closing rapidly on US$4 a gallon, Americans are bracing for expensive driving and the combination of record prices, a slowing economy and a tight credit market has beaten consumers down.

General Motors Corporation in June meanwhile, also outlined a seismic restructuring to reinvent itself as a smaller company less reliant on big trucks. By 2010, the No. 1 U.S. automaker will have shut down four truck plants, cut thousands more jobs and re-created its lineup to include more fuelefficient cars and crossovers and less of the hulking SUVs and pickups that have long driven profits in Detroit.

When the restructuring is done, midsize SUVs such as the Chevrolet TrailBlazer, and the entire lineup of Hummer trucks may disappear from GM’s portfolio.

GM is working diligently to produce a lithiumion battery that can adequately power a Chevy Volt electric car it expects to be sold in showrooms by the end of 2010.

In Vietnam, sales of electric bicycles are surging like the price of petrol as they are far cheaper to run and their riders don’t need a license or helmet. Many of them are quite fast too, and there’s a real fear that they might cause traffic accidents.

Electric bikes have been on the local market for a few years but failed to take off until 12 months ago.

An electric bike made in Vietnam retails for VND3.7-4.6 million (US$231-287) while a new import from Taiwan-China or a used model from Japan goes for VND5-8 million (US$312-500). Vietnam and China make motorbikes that sell for close to these prices.

While a motorbike uses one litre of petrol costing VND14,000 (RM2.825) to travel 60 kilometers, the cost of recharging an electric bike after the same trip is just VND1,500 (30 sen).

In order to attract buyers, they have to turn out cool-looking models that don’t look sissy and can do well over 50kph.

In countries like South Korea meanwhile, skyrocketing fuel prices have increased thepopularity of small cars. In a report published by the Korean Herald in June, local carmakers revealed that 20% of the country’s first quarter sales figures of 196,000 passenger cars sold were city cars. Last year, the proportion was only 5.5%.

Reuters meanwhile, reported that drivers of luxury cars in Iran will no longer be able to buy heavily subsidised gasoline from June 21.

The new rules applies to Iranianproduced cars with 2,000cc engines or more and imported cars of 1,300 cc.

It is the latest change of a rationing system launched a year ago under which motorists can buy 120 litres per month at the price of 1,000 rials per litre (35 sen), some of the cheapest fuel in the world.

Iran is the world’s fourth-largest oil producer but lacks enough refining capacity for domestic needs, forcing it to import large amounts of gasoline and burdening its finances.

In a bid to curb consumption, it introduced rationing in June 2007. Until then, motorists could buy unlimited amounts of heavily-subsidised gasoline.

From March this year, it allowed the sale of extra, higher-priced gasoline at 4,000 rials per litre (RM1.401) outside the rationing system but all motorists still had access to the monthly quota of 120 litres at a quarter of that price.

Under the change announced by caretaker Interior Minister Mehdi Hashemi, owners of luxury brands can only buy the higher-priced petrol.

In addition, the price of higher-quality super gasoline will rise to 5,400 rials (RM1.892) from 5,000 (RM1.752) per litre previously.

In Taiwan, the Associated Press reports that President Ma Ying-jeou uses stairs instead of elevators and addresses conferences in short-sleeve shirts. Chauffeur-driven Cabinet ministers leave their Mercedes and Cadillacs in garages and ride compact sedans to work.

Rank-and-file officials, meanwhile, pedal bicycles in Taipei’s clogged traffic.

These efforts are part of the justinaugurated Ma’s sweeping new energysaving drive to deal with soaring fuel, food and other prices and keep looming inflationary pressures under check.

It has also called on the public to use car pools, cut down on air conditioning use and plant shrubs on building tops to stimulate natural cooling.

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